I am mining engineer with 28 years experience and am currently a Director for Mining Intelligence and Benchmarking at PwC. Opinions here are my own.
Showing posts with label GBI. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GBI. Show all posts
Monday, 3 December 2012
GBIData.com Loading Unit Full Sample Report
Labels:
availability,
benchmarking,
bucket capacity,
Business Improvement,
dipper,
dipper size,
dragline,
equipment selection,
forecast,
GBI,
gbi mining,
graham lumley,
mining,
mining equipment,
productivity,
rope shovel
Thursday, 29 November 2012
Thursday, 4 October 2012
Syndicated Project for Rope Shovel Benchmarking in Russia
GBI are formulating a syndicated benchmark specifically for rope shovels in Russia with a focus on the Kartex EKG range. If you have these machines and would like to participate in this benchmark to find out how your equipment is performing compared to Best Practice please contact me for more information on laura.seviour@gbimining.com.
Tuesday, 28 August 2012
Best Practice Standards Series - Top 10 Dragline Operating Standards Feedback
On 28th August 2012 GBI conducted its Best Practice
Standards Series - Top 10 Dragline Operating Standards Course. We wanted to
share with you some of our feedback and the course rankings:
"Overall very useful and informative course. Covered
a broad range of topics well. Information was presented objectively with
supporting data and facts which was very valuable."
"Very good dragline course. Bucket and rigging
section was very involved obviously due to the large amount of knowledge GBI
has amassed in this area. Well presented and the info was delivered at the
right level for the target audience"
"Great workshop overall, very informative on a range
of levels."
"Being relatively new to Dragline operations and
management, this course has been really beneficial."
The course achieved an overall course ranking of 4.68 out
of 5. Where 1 is poor and 5 is excellent.
The Ranking for Content achieved was 4.42 out of 5.
The next Best Practice Standards Series are to be held on
the following dates at Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO 80401:
October 4th - Top 10 Mine Operating Standards
October 5th - Top 10 Dragline Operating Standards
October 8th - Top 10 Mine Operating Standards
October 9th - Top 10 Operating Standards
October 5th - Top 10 Dragline Operating Standards
October 8th - Top 10 Mine Operating Standards
October 9th - Top 10 Operating Standards
Contact Karen.Trott@gbimining.com
or go to http://www.gbimining.com/GBI-Training.html for more details.
Wednesday, 15 August 2012
Truck and Loader Optimisation
Variation in performance can be a major contributor to reduction in efficiency and it is this variation which must be understood and controlled if the operation is to achieve their strategic goals. In statistics, a result within three standard deviations of the average is considered to be under control. Given a normal distribution of results, 0.14% of cycles should be expected to be more than 3 standard deviations above the average. Under normal circumstances the key “interaction parameters” – Wait on Trucks and/or Wait on Loaders, will not be normally distributed and should be skewed strongly to the right or “positively skewed”. (Skew or skewness is the lack of symmetry in a frequency distribution. Positive skew has a long tail to the right of the peak – high percentage of results with a low result.) Most mines have both wait on truck and wait on loader very strongly and significantly skewed to the right. In truck and loader operations most wait on truck and wait on loader results, up to 5% of cycles can be more than three standard deviations above the average. However, to meet one of the two key strategies our mines follow most of the time you actually only want one of these strongly skewed.
A high skew (maximum frequency of low values with a long tail to the right) on both parameters is required for optimising efficiency but this will deliver neither maximum output nor minimum cost. The higher the measure of skew the more efficient the operation. It is not unusual for the value of skewness statistic divided by standard error of skew to be over 100. A significant difference in skewness statistic / standard error of skew for wait on trucks cf wait on loader is an indicator of overtrucking (skew of wait on truck is stronger than wait on loader) or undertrucking (skew of wait on loader is stronger than wait on truck) and one of these is what is required for most mines.
Another way of measuring the efficiency of truck and loader usage is the proportion of time where the truck and loader wait for less than 30 seconds (excluding spotting). To optimise the mine’s execution of strategy it is often necessary to have these two measures significantly different. For example you might find that wait on trucks is less than 30 seconds 90% of the time and wait on loader is less than 30 seconds 35% of the time. This demonstrates a strongly over-trucked scenario. This will deliver high system output but will not be the most cost effective way to operate the fleet. However, if it is your mine’s strategy to optimise output at any cost then being overtrucked is a good thing. These results can be reported on a month by month basis to demonstrate the strength of the overtrucking (maximum wait on truck events less than 30 secs and minimum wait on loader events less than 30 secs).
As already discussed most operations usually follow one of two strategies in relation to matching number of trucks to the loading unit. These operations either follow an over trucked or an under trucked approach. Under trucking is a lower cost option, delivering a higher utilisation on the trucks while sacrificing the loading units utilisation. Over trucking will cause a higher cost per tonne, will have a higher utilisation on the loading units and a lower utilisation on the truck fleet although moving more material. Sometimes an approach will be taken to attempt to optimise output and cost but this usually ends in underperformance in profit and/or output.
The challenge for all mines is how best to represent this match of numbers of trucks reporting to each loading unit in a way which makes the outcome meaningful for ongoing optimisation. The optimal matching of trucks is the critical element for a loading unit to achieve its required production rate and it is essential that the supply of trucks to the loading unit is sufficient to meet the required output. In most cases the average haul distance varies from the beginning of a new bench to the end of the bench and truck numbers need to taken into account as well as managing the dump areas (long and short dumps).
Wait on truck delays (loading unit entered delays) that are less then 2 minutes in duration are generally considered to be part of normal operational delays. Wait on truck is typically where there are no trucks available to be loaded by the loading unit and highlights one or more of the following problems in the circuit:
· The loading unit is under trucked.
· The trucks are being delayed in the circuit by one or more of the following:
· Delays on the dump, waiting for dozer work or queuing.
· Haul road grades too steep, poor road conditions, grading of roads etc. slowing trucks down.
· Sub optimal Operator performance / speed / technique
· Dust / weather / blasting etc.
If the trucks are queued, waiting to load, this is called wait on loader. Most mines that have relatively high wait on loader time (queue time) are over trucked.
Some mines operate day-to-day using a Match Factor, i.e. where a MF of 1 means that the number of trucks are perfectly matched to the digger such that the cycle times are integrated and should no delays occur, trucks will arrive and depart in a perfect scenario exactly matching the digger’s truck requirement. The method of calculating MF varies but the formula used by GBI is
MF = (1-%wait on loader time)*(1-%wait on truck time)
This is only of value where a mine is passing through this phase of balancing output and cost. Fleets operating a strategy of optimising the balance between loaders and trucks should achieve an MF >=0.70. This allows for the typical mining delays and means that as a result of them, some time the digger waits for trucks, and other times trucks are queued at the same digger (normal every day mining). For most mines the important factor is a comparison of either wait on truck or wait on loader. This will give them a direct indication of how well they are meeting their strategy.
Thursday, 26 July 2012
Truck and Loader Matching Part 6
This blog I want to present a
case study where a mine had a large shovel with 44 CuM dipper loading 218 tonne
trucks perfectly in two and a half passes! (Situation normal for most!)
The dilemma, faced by multitudes of mines around the world, is do you put a
third small pass in the truck or do you send it away 80% full?
The average payload of the
shovel was 85 tonnes. The original methodology for determining the match
was not known but the performance of the dipper was quite good when looking
around the industry. It appears likely that the original aim was to fill
the 218 tonne trucks in three passes. Two passes sent trucks away with an
average of 170 tonnes payload. The decision was made not to put the third
pass into the trucks due to the loss in productivity, damage caused to trucks
by overloading and the increased spillage.
The desired average payload was
218 tonnes per truck (109 tonnes per dipper). The mine had a quote from
the OEM to change the boom geometry of the two shovels and provide two new
dippers. Quote was for $6M+.
Using a combination of data
analysis and physical modelling four stages of work were undertaken with the
following outcomes;
Stage
1 Analyse data. Process changes
recommended. Discussions held with operators.
Result - Payload
increased to 95 tonnes on average which was in line with best practice dipper
performance.
Stage
2 Physical modeling of the
existing dipper, the supplier’s recommended dipper and two boom geometries.
Result – Modelling
proved accurate. Modelling demonstrated under-performance of supplier’s
recommended dipper relative to existing dipper. Recommendation made not
to change boom geometry. Recommendation not to purchase new dipper due to
substantial under-performance. Recommendation to test changes to existing
dipper.
Stage
3 Physical modeling of changes
to the dipper.
Result – A number
of changes had a positive impact on payload but none gave enough by themselves
to increase payload to 109 tonnes. Recommendation to conduct further testing
combining various options to modify the dipper.
Stage
4 Four options were presented
which met the target 109 tonne average
payload,
(Figure 1).
The mine chose the preferred
option with a slight change, engaged a structural engineer to design the
modifications and a local business undertook the modifications to one dipper
(Figure 2).
End Result
All up cost $350,000, Average Payload 111 tonnes. Value to mine at the time $8M
per annum.
Consequently a second dipper
was modified for the second shovel.
All up cost was $470,000 with
two dippers achieving 111 tonnes and 109 tonnes average payload. Cash saved on
the project >$5.5M. Value to the mine $15M per annum.
The most important lesson here
is that you can’t achieve anything if you won’t have a go. The four
stages here took 18 months and were rigorously evaluated before proceeding, but
the key is that they did it and they added real value.
Monday, 16 July 2012
Truck and Loader Matching Part 5
This blog continues to
investigate the issue of why many trucks are being perfectly loaded in 2.5 or
3.5 passes. In this discussion I am looking at rope shovel capacity and
why we need so much steel to carry what is often a very poor payload.
How is it possible that best practice in
dipper performance provides a payload of 2.16 times capacity but the dominant
manufacturers provide dippers which only achieve around 1.70 times
capacity? This is more than 20% less payload for the same capacity and
around the same weight of steel. This rhetorical question actually has a
real answer. It is because the mines don’t care. So
long as it keeps going and is supported when it breaks then that is OK.
Many mines don’t even complain when the loader truck match is 2.5 or 3.5.
To someone who has worked in equipment productivity for over 20 years this is
really depressing.
Looking at some issues which
impact shovel payload. Firstly, dipper issues which the mine can have
some impact on. The tooth attack angle is really important. Payload
increases by around 0.5% per degree as the tooth attack angle is
increased. However, it is not possible to simply keep steepening the
tooth attack angle of the dipper due to the interaction between the heel and
the bank. Relative heel wear rises exponentially after about 65 degrees
tooth attack angle. By 70 degrees the heel wear is probably unacceptably
high. Many buckets are in the range 50-55o and are losing a
lot of payload.
The concept of Bail vs Bail-less is a function of where the hoist
connection is made to the dipper. The
connection of hoist ropes at the rear of the dipper increases payload.
Where the connection is 25% along the dipper the difference is -10% which is
significant.
The width : height : depth ratios
as well as teeth arrangements have an impact on payload but there is little
impact site people can have on these issues once you have the dipper so I won’t
expand on these issues here.
The other side of the payload
issue is operational issues. Many of these can be controlled by the
mine. What is being dug causes variation in average payload by up to 20%
in the same dipper. Herein lies a significant issue relating to truck/shovel
matches. It is possible that the same dipper, even on the same minesite,
can get differences in payload of 20% simply due to the spoil being dug. The key to higher
payload is the degree of fragmentation. The highest payloads are achieved
in spoil where there is a range of particle sizes; not all large and not all
small. The implication is that payload is significantly enhanced by good
blasting practices.
The power made available to the
operator has a major impact on payload. In harder digging, ie. blocky,
poorly shot, etc., increased power provides increased payload up to 120% of the
standard power level. In softer spoils the shovel dipper achieves higher
payloads at lower power levels. In summary, it is beneficial (in terms of
payload) to increase power to the maximum.
Bench height plays a major role
in determining payload. At any bench height greater than 30% of boom
point height a full payload can be achieved consistently. Similarly, the
distance from the face has a major impact on payload. The variation from
cycle to cycle is quite large but a consistent trend is seen for each digging
position. The first few digs have the loading unit very close to the
face. During these cycles the payloads are reduced possibly due to the
inefficient application of power to the trajectory of the dipper / bucket.
The payload increases as the face “moves” away from the shovel. Once the
dipper starts having trouble reaching the face the payload reduces quite
quickly. The decision about when to move the loader is not an easy
one to get right. Generally the operator will decide to move the loader
when they encounter difficulty in loading the truck in the designated number of
cycles. To optimise the productivity a range of factors need to be
considered, including, payload, fill time, another truck waiting, what the face
is like. As a general observation, if the loader is under-trucked, it
would appear prudent to move the loading unit frequently. If the shovel
is over-trucked it becomes a multi-dimensional equation as to when the most
efficient time to move is.
It became evident from a very
early stage in the work on shovels that on some loading equipment the
efficiency of the bucket / dipper was severely compromised by large voids
inside the dipper / bucket (Figure 1). These voids ranged from 5% inside
a backhoe bucket up to 25% inside rope shovel buckets. The impact of
these voids is included in the previously described impacts on payload.
Finally I would direct your
attention to Figure 2. This shows the variation in dipper payload for
P&H and Cat (previously Bucyrus), (both unidentified) and VR Mining
Dippers. I have spent my career helping mines be more productive and the
VR Mining dipper is the most efficient dipper design I am aware of. I am
aware there are maintenance, support and financial issues to purchasing a
dipper but speak to dipper manufacturers, not just the OEM, the next time you
want a dipper.
Just so you know: I worked for
VR Mining in 1997 and 1998; before they designed this dipper. GBI has had
a number of small consulting jobs from VR Mining over the last 10 years.
I had no input into the VR design. Neither I nor GBI receive anything
from anyone for the comments made here. They are simply my honest opinion
– the VR dipper is the best and the mines are costing themselves a bundle by
not looking at it. Even if the mines used this fact to put pressure on
P&H and Caterpillar to do better, the industry would benefit.
Wednesday, 11 July 2012
Truck and Loader Matching Part 4
Over the last few weeks I have
systematically pulled apart the issue of nominal truck capacities to
demonstrate why big mining trucks achieve 5-15% below what the manufacturer
says they should get on average. I don’t believe this is an issue that
too many truck manufacturers’ want to address and the cynical side of me
suggests that this article won’t help. Maybe a single voice in the
wilderness can gain support to force change.
My focus is on mines moving
more for less and apart from the engineering design work to increase the
capacity of trucks from the 150 tonne maximum size 25 years ago to the 360
tonne maximum size now I don’t think that the truck suppliers have helped the
“move more for less” equation too much. Even the notion of bigger trucks
being a great innovation and assistance in efficiency enhancement is
questionable. I will repeat something from a previous blog. On the
whole bigger trucks are less efficient than smaller trucks. They carry
less payload (as a percentage of nominal capacity) and work less hours.
However, this is not a consistent picture between OEM’s. In terms of
nominal capacity the 360 ton trucks are 50% bigger than a 240 ton truck.
however, in terms of actual annual capacity, average 360 ton trucks move just
20% more than 240 ton trucks. I am not pointing the finger at one
supplier.
Figure 1 shows the 2010 median
performance for each major mining truck make and model. Some of the older
and newer models are not included due to lack of data. Mining truck
performance is presented in this analysis as annual tonnes (normalised for full
year operation) * km travelled per tonne of nominal tray carrying capacity.
Trucks with different
designations (usually A, B, etc used by Cat and Liebherr) have not been
separated in this analysis. The capacities for these “sub-models” are
generally similar as is the output. It is important to note that
this plot does not attempt to say whether the make and model results actually
reflect better trucks or the operating characteristics of the sites at which
they are used. The trends with increasing size of mining trucks are
mixed. The Liebherr trucks become more efficient with increasing size
while the Cat trucks become less efficient with increasing size. The
Hitachi, Komatsu and Terex trucks achieve peak efficiency with the 240 ton (218
metric tonne) capacity size EH4500, 830E and 4400 respectively. The
larger capacity trucks are not as efficient with these OEM’s. Of the
larger trucks the Liebherr T282 is the highest performer with Terex and Komatsu
both achieving 20% less annual tkm/t and Cat 23% less annual tkm/t. It is
not without precedent for larger equipment to have lower unit production (ie.
draglines) however, the exceptional performance of the Liebherr T282 range
demonstrates that this is not a necessary outcome. Another clear finding
from this plot is that the performance of the smaller Cat trucks (777 and 785)
was, and continues to be, relatively high. They however, are not suitable
for loading with the larger loaders.
This industry has lived in a
world where bigger is better. But frequently when bigger equipment is
released it just doesn’t perform well. Those of us who remember the
release of 240 ton trucks would remember that they had real problems. It
seems too easy for a poorly performing mine to just get bigger equipment and
that is what they tend to do. They waste more millions of dollars when
the improvements they need are available by just operating more efficiently and
would actually cost very little.
To demonstrate this point I
will set up a scenario of a PC8000 hydraulic shovel loading Cat793
trucks. These have not been chosen for any particular reason except it
should be a comfortable three pass match. The average PC8000 loader will
require 7.5 average Cat 793 trucks. Four crews plus spares plus trainees
(you should always have a pool of people training) probably means around 40
truck drivers. If a mine then goes and purchases Cat797 trucks the
typical method of determining number of trucks is to simply work out the
proportional capacity. New trucks = old trucks * 793 capacity / 797
capacity. Using this formula five new Cat797 trucks would be purchased
with the expectation that around 13 people would be saved along with reduced
running and maintenance costs. Unfortunately, this scenario is
fictitious. In the real world the PC8000 on average needs 5.8 * 797
trucks and only saves 9 people. Bigger trucks cost more to buy and more
to run, so how far ahead are you?
OK so returning to the real
point of this column; technology is progressing fast. We now know that
trucks are not carrying the nominal payloads. This has not gone unnoticed
by companies which make their way in the world by making equipment work
better. For the OEM the real money seems to be in the chassis and
tyres. Improvements in payload are coming from specialist tray
suppliers. Truck trays are no different to most other mining
equipment. What the equipment carries is made up of steel and payload and
the aim is to maximise the payload and minimise the steel while achieving
acceptable life. In the past with trucks this was a nothing equation
because OEM’s told the mine what payload the truck would carry. We now
know this was almost always wrong. Truck trays seem to be following where
the industry has been with draglines. Now Bucyrus and P&H build
draglines and shovels but CQMS currently build the most efficient dragline
buckets while VR Mining have the most efficient shovel dippers. In trucks
you have specialised truck tray manufacturers like DT HiLoad, Duratray, Esco,
Philippi-Hagenbach, Westech, etc. who seem to get it; the chassis is built to
carry a certain load and if you can reduce tonnes of steel and increase tonnes
of payload then the mine must be ahead.
It is my proposal that we must
here and now dispose of SAE Standard J-1363 for calculating truck capacity the
same way suppliers have disposed of the CIMA formula for dragline bucket
capacity. We must also stop rating trucks based on a nominal
payload. We should establish a rated capacity for the truck trays which
is struck capacity (contained capacity with no heaping according to computer
models) multiplied by a factor. With dragline buckets the factor is 0.9
which I have always disagreed with but everyone knows it and accepts it.
I believe the rated capacity of a truck tray should be equal to the struck
capacity, (factor = 1). In the same way that we have a Bucket Efficiency
Ratio for draglines and a Dipper Efficiency Ratio for shovels, which is payload
/ rated capacity, we need a Tray Efficiency Ratio (payload / rated capacity)
for trucks - TER. There is also a steel weight ratio (Tray Unit Weight
(TUW)), which is the weight of the tray divided by the rated capacity. The
formula for the optimum truck tray rated capacity is then;
OTC
= GVM – Chassis Wt
TER + TUW
Only then can we get the best
tray design with the right capacity to meet the gross vehicle mass. At
least then we will be covering Step 1 in the optimisation process; mines will
be selecting the right piece of gear.
Sunday, 1 July 2012
Truck and Loader Matching Part 3
Why do mines end up with trucks
which are not able to carry their nominated payload? What is the problem
with truck capacity? SAE Standard J-1363 is still used by most suppliers
of truck bodies to define the capacity. However, with the advent of
larger and larger trucks (and loaders) more sophistication is demanded of the
truck tray capacity. Many mines simply don’t (and most can’t) achieve the
truck’s nominal capacity on average without the addition of a door on the rear
and/or hungry boards. A calculation of the geometry shows that the field
volume can be 5-15% below the SAE rated volume. The main error in SAE
Standard J-1363 is that the capacity requires a 2:1 heap from all sides and 1:1
slope off the rear to the point where it intersects the top of the body
sides. The problems with this are;
1. There are virtually no
materials which will stack at 1:1.
2. To put the 2:1 heap on top of
the 1:1 at the rear is wrong. Some manufacturers will take the spoil off the
back at 2:1.
3. Spoil when dumped will form a
cone. Therefore the angular top of the truck body cannot be filled
completely.
These three points
are demonstrated in the accompanying figure 1 which is from Hagenbuch (2000).
Figure 1
4. The angle of repose is almost
never 2:1 (26.6o). The problem is magnified the larger the
angle is. Interestingly enough dragline engineers are taught that the
angle of repose is 37o. In reality it is rarely that
high. Most angles of repose are between 30 and 35o.
5. The angle towards the front is
almost always shallower than the angle at the rear and the angles on the
sides. The difference between front and rear is up to 7o. The
difference on the sides is not consistent and has been measured from -7o
to +6o compared with the rear angle, (Hagenbuch 2000).
The final difficulty then is the
determination of density of material in the truck. This is again broken
into three confounding variables;
- Different material has
different density.
- Different materials will have
different swells upon loading, which will often be different to that in the
dipper or bucket, and
- The operators loading technique
may alter the density in the truck.
As a further confounding issue,
the operators’ placement of spoil in the truck may reduce the effective
capacity due to loading on the axles. This is not covered in this blog
but is very important in the optimisation process.
When the five issues are
considered the actual volume can be 5-15% below the SAE J-1363 Standard.
Now I do need to say that there are a number of truck tray manufacturers in the
market who are doing this much smarter than others and are providing a more
accurate calculation of nominal capacity. However, if truck supplier X
says they will carry 291 tonnes in their tray and truck tray manufacturer YY
says that theirs will carry 285, guess which one most choose? The problem
is that the standard tray which comes with most 291 tonne (320 ton) trucks may
only carry 270 tonnes. Maybe the truck tray manufacturer YY can carry 285
tonnes but most of the time they won’t? Some do consistently carry what
they say they will, however, most truck suppliers know that their trays won’t
carry the nominal payload. The problem here is that unless you model it
you simply don’t know.
In the second figure I have put
a sample of truck makes and models and the payload they carry in “best
practice” operations. The trendline of average is also provided.
This clearly shows the reducing payload as a fraction of nominal load as
capacity increases. What this means is that you can’t expect to achieve the
nominal payload for any truck over a Cat785 size. You might get it but
more than likely you won’t. For a truck in the 327 tonne (360 ton) size,
you might get 20-30 (or more) tonnes lower payload than you expect for the
20,000+ times the truck is filled per annum. For a fleet of 8 trucks (and
you might need more as I will discuss in the next few weeks), this is 4M tonnes
of payload lost per annum. How is your mine plan looking? Scary
thought.
Figure 2
Reference
Hagenbuch, L.G. 2000, Adapting
the Off-Highway Truck Body Volumetric Process to Real World Conditions, SAE
Technical Paper Series No. 2000-01-2652, International Off-Highway &
Powerplant Congress & Exposition Milwaukee, Wisconsin September
11-13, 2000
Thursday, 21 June 2012
Understanding & Improving Truck and Loader Operations course receives great feedback
Our "Understanding &
Improving Truck and Loader Operations" course has received great feedback. See below for breakdown;
To date:
To date:
- We have achieved an average of 4.4 out of possible 5 for Total Course Content
- We have achieved an average of 4.6 out of a possible 5 for Course Facilitation
Thursday, 31 May 2012
GBI presents a snapshot of our "Understanding and Improving Truck & Loader Operations" Course
After numerous requests we have put together a snapshot of your "Understanding and Improving Truck & Loader Operations Course" to give you a taster of this 2 day course.
Please contact lea.andlovec@gbimining.com if you have any questions or would like to book into this course.
Tuesday, 15 May 2012
Truck and Loader Matching Part 2
I have seen many examples of
trucks being loaded perfectly in two and a half or three and a half
passes. As I said in the last blog, for many mines the issue of matching
truck capacity to loader capacity is problematic and more often than not
results in a majority of trucks being under-loaded. As trucks and loading
units increase in size the number of passes required to fill the truck is
decreasing and the difficulty in attaining the match is becoming more
difficult.
Mines generally use one of five
methods for selecting equipment size/capacity.
1. Allow the supplier to decide. Suppliers love this
because they can sell the mine the same as someone else has received which cuts
down their costs significantly. However, if the mine abrogates their
responsibility to run their mine they get what they deserve. Remember back
last year when I discussed the 62.7 CuM rope shovel. The calculation had
fill factors and all sorts of multipliers to arrive at the correct
answer. However, you don’t need to be as cynical as me to be struck by
the fact that it was exactly the same dipper being used on exactly the same
make and model shovel at a mine about 150km away. Were they digging the
same spoil? No. Were they using the same bench heights? No. Surely
they were at least loading the same trucks? No. A completely different
operation and yet (quite by chance?) the supplier came up with the same dipper
as being the right size. Mining with a computer is really easy but it rarely
provides the answer which will help the mine optimise what they are
doing. Understand this – if you allow the supplier to specify the size of
the equipment you will get the capacity which is best for their profit, not
yours. It saves them much design, engineering and fabrication cost if a
supplier can simply sell you the same capacity that someone else has.
A
quick example from the coal mines on suppliers providing the same product when
something different was needed. A mine ordered a dragline bucket from the
dominant supplier. In this case the supplier has about 75% market share
and the mine was justified in choosing them. After doing some computer
mining the bucket supplier arrived at 57 CuM capacity. Once it went to
work the mine was very unhappy with its performance as the average payload was
about eight tonnes below what they previously achieved and the operators were
complaining about it not digging. We were called in to investigate.
We found the geometry of the bucket was not matched to the geometry of the pit
being dug. I found the exact same bucket had been built for another mine
about 9 months earlier and they were very happy with it. This operation
had an average pit depth of 50 metres and the design matched perfectly.
The second 57 CuM bucket was exactly the same as the first but the
digging depth rarely exceeded 20 metres. End result – the mine lost substantial
production and potential profitability. Anyway, back to the other methods
of selecting equipment capacity.
2. Guess. There are a number of
forms which this takes. Most people in the selection process will create
the “truck-loader” matching spreadsheet but will make a number of guesses about
key factors on density, fill factors, etc. Often this process is aimed at
justifying a particular capacity to management.
3. Existing Data. This is an extension on
guessing. Data is collected on existing performance and this is
extrapolated to new equipment. This is certainly a quantum leap up from
options 1 and 2 but can fall down when data is sketchy or non-existent or when
different equipment is ordered.
4. Computer modelling. This is an extension on point
1. Some suppliers have flow models for simulating material flow into
their equipment but while being good for research and development, they are of
minimal value for commercial decision-making. This is due to the models
not being far enough advanced to simulate specific spoil (as opposed to generic
spoils). Now I might get howls of opposition from highly intelligent
researchers but I have never seen one good enough for commercial
decision-making.
5. Physical Modelling. In 1977, D.J. Schuring,
released “Scale Models in Engineering: Fundamentals and Applications”, Pergamon
Press, New York, N. Y. In this book, he devoted a section to earthmoving
in general, (eg. Bulldozers, excavators, etc), in which he confirmed the
accuracy of physical modelling in earthmoving applications. Scale models
have been used successfully on dragline buckets and rigging since 1985.
Similar techniques have been applied to rope shovels since 2000, truck bodies
since 2002 and excavators since 2005. Schuring (1977) found that the key
to accurate results from scale models in earthmoving was that the behaviour of
the spoil was accurately simulated.
In my next blog I will carry
this discussion on and look at the flawed standard being used to determine
truck nominal capacity.
Graham Lumley
BE(Min)Hons, MBA, DBA, FAUSIMM(CP), MMICA, MAICD, RPEQ
Wednesday, 28 March 2012
Mining and complexity – paradigm, paradox or parody?
I introduced the issue of
complexity in my last blog and stated that there is little evidence in open cut
equipment production data that “complexity” plays any role in decreasing
equipment productivity over time. This is a controversial view in the
mining industry, particularly the large mining companies where increasing
complexity has been used as an excuse for falling equipment productivity rates
for some years now.
I stated in my last blog;
It is my theory that the corporatisation
of the mine site is to blame for the reduction in availability and consequent
productivity. It is the focus on process and not the result.
Managers are often judged on how they do their job, not the end result, and a
declining result can be hidden behind exceptional processes. Part of that
change is an increasing focus on safety but not the majority of it.
Because most managers have little real natural management expertise they
embrace the processes which are encouraged by corporatisation. Six Sigma
or Lean are great because they provide the manager with a focus on
process. You can actually point to what you have done.
Unfortunately the performance metric is wrong.
I believe that the silent
majority support this view but many just have to fit within the confines of the
company that employs them. I received the following from someone running
a mine this week after they read my last blog (that makes two of us who read
it).
You are so right about people
getting hung up about the process of a process and the process of process
improvement rather than the bottom line impact of the outcome it produces
You can extend this further by
explicitly focussing on added value as the principle and proper measure of
improvement. eg "For any given operational outcome, a process
'improvement' that does not measurably generate positive added value or improve
safety without negative impact on the firm's overall value is no improvement at
all." No matter how exceptional it might be.
This industry needs to take
more notice of Prof Michael Porter - the father of the value chain concept. He
had it spot on. If it doesn't add measurable value, prune it.
However, remember not all value is financial - reputation, employee wellbeing,
and other "soft" forms of value also matter to different degrees in
different companies.
Six Sigma and Lean do not cover
the value chain concept well I reckon, and their experts too frequently have no
wider business management training to know any better.
A few other personal
operational observations for you;
- Pits do get more complex
sometimes but usually just deeper and/or less "rich". Any
complexity is mostly human induced.
- You are right about
availability being a function of age. BUT its more complicated and its
only true beyond a certain age. There is a trade-off between depreciation
of new equipment with age and repair with age on 2 axes vs availability
with age on the third. If you map profit (or net value added) against
these axes you will find here is a reasonable sweet spot for average fleet
age where profit is maximised - and it’s not at any of the extremes.
Operational rosters (eg 4 days a week, 24*7 etc) change the sweet spot
quite a bit.
- I've never seen any specific
mining industry research on this and there are a lot of misconceptions out
there.
- Availability is an issue but
not the only one. Cost saving pressures, lack of professional knowledge,
managerial ignorance and inappropriate performance metrics are an even
bigger part of it. Maybe some would argue this is the actual
"complexity" causing most of the problems, eg...
- Payload and digging cycle time
(esp truck shovel) are affected (often severely) by poor pit design
(relative to deposit and equipment), poor road placement, poor matching of
blast performance, poor dump design, but also limited communication
between the engineers and mining supervisors - the latter usually make the
shift to shift decisions with no knowledge or understanding of the
former's work (= poor decisions frequently).
I will repeat my last paragraph from the last column. Commodity prices (maybe with the exception of gold) are going to decline. You won’t be able to keep making money without focusing on the real reason you are in business. You need more of your commodity going out the gate at a lower cost, not a new business improvement process every week or month.
Graham Lumley
BE(Min)Hons, MBA, DBA, FAUSIMM(CP), MMICA, MAICD, RPEQ
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Sunday, 25 March 2012
Wednesday, 21 December 2011
Productivity and Mine Planning - Part 1
The return from many mining
operations has been continually undermined by mine plans which either can’t be
implemented or when implemented simply don’t provide the expected
results. There are some amazingly smart, technologically-advanced
tools available for mine planning but they are being rendered useless by a poor
approach to data and knowledge. Remember from a previous blog; data is
your most valuable strategic resource. Think about that comment for a
minute. A strategic resource is something you can make money out of.
In previous blogs I have
discussed the poor standard of data analysis provided by equipment suppliers
and why mines must take responsibility for the really important strategic skill
– analysing data. This blog is about mine planning.
Mine planning is a
multi-facetted science. This simply means that despite the
technologically advanced tools there are still multiple places where it goes
wrong. The key driver of this is a poor approach to knowledge
management. We have really, really smart tools and they are hungry for
knowledge input, however, at best they are malnourished and normally they are
comatose through starvation. How long has your planning engineer been in
the role? How does your mine planning process determine equipment rates?
It is now known that the best practice for large mining trucks is 112% higher
than average or best practice for excavators is 168% higher than average, or
124% in shovels or 32% with draglines, etc. Worse still, the average
drill delivers only a quarter the annual metres drilled of the best practice
drills. The data is available but most mines don’t use it. Despite
this huge variation many mine plans assume rates which are higher than best
practice and simply have no chance of being achieved. As an example the average
dragline in Australia underperformed plan by 7% in 2008. Not bad, but the
average shortfall in coal uncovered was 25%. Clearly there is something
wrong with the planning and/or the execution of the plan. What is the
impact on a mine’s bottom line when the price of commodities are relatively
low? Finally, do you have improvement built into your mine planning and
do you have a process in place for the operators to deliver it?
We have demonstrated the
performance of P&H4100XPC shovels in the northern part of Australia's Bowen
Basin. Best practice was 17.9MBCM per annum and median 14.1MBCM per
annum. The project team was under pressure from Executive Management to
budget 25 MBCM per annum because in their opinion, “That is what that model is
capable of.” The GBI database indicates the P&H4100XPC shovel is
capable of moving 25MBCM per annum, however, only one machine in 40 from around
the world will achieve this level and none from the northern Bowen Basin.
In this case the use of 25MBCM in development models would make a huge
difference in terms of predicted ROI and approvals for financing but is most
likely going to end in the company not meeting their forecasts for the proposed
development.
Now a “competent person” will
sign off on this and the deposit will be presented as economic, open cut
reserves. Financiers and shareholders will feel comfortable (they are
after all one of the largest mining companies in the world) but industry
standards suggest they haven’t demonstrated economically mineable, open
cut reserves. Maybe they are economically mineable, underground reserves,
but they haven’t been demonstrated as economically mineable open cut reserves
because the inputs into defining them are extremely doubtful by industry
standards.
Substantial underperformance is
rife and it will continue to be a feature of our industry as long as mine
processes fail to use the knowledge which is available. This starts with
mine planning. Site planners and mining consultants don’t have the data /
knowledge so they are happy to keep guessing. Why do you think many
operators treat mine plans as a joke? Probably because they are.
Effort is needed to help these amazing, technologically-advanced tools produce
exceptional plans by facilitating the acquisition, absorption and application
of knowledge which is available and is being generated on a daily basis.
It is about the use of information; and in particular the conversion of that
information to knowledge and most importantly – innovation (change) on the
ground.
The purpose of this blog is to
highlight an area where very simple but extremely useful data exists but many
people are not using it. The mining plan requires estimates of productivity and
costs which feed into the production plan and schedules. It is the
productivity and costs which are a real key to the DCF analysis but are
normally done with minimal input from outside the potentially subjective
opinion of the person doing the planning. However, this information is
available in great detail from around the world. The question is posed,
“Why do people not use the information available to improve the outcome?”
I will expand more on this and
provide more specific examples in my next blog.
Remember.......The right
data. No speculation.
Graham Lumley
BE(Min)Hons, MBA, DBA, FAUSIMM(CP), MMICA, MAICD, RPEQ
Thursday, 1 December 2011
A Productivity Paradigm
I have spent some time looking at the
issues relating to productivity and why working hard on a mining solution
rather than a “Business Improvement” solution is really important. You
know at the end of the day that the most important strategic ability your mine
has is to be able to implement value-adding change. Also, there is that
catch phrase “continuous improvement” which is really, really important when
considering the most important strategic ability. It is interesting when
studying data from best practice operations to see the trend of their
performance. In the majority of cases it trends up. It might be 2%
one year, 3% the next and maybe some years it is 0% or down a bit, but the
trend is unmistakable.
While Six Sigma, Lean, TOC, etc. are
all useful systems, you have to be careful that the improvement you gain is in
the removal of your commodity not just the understanding of the “correct”
process of business improvement.
However, lets take a step back and
assume you are not one of the 10% of mines that has best practice performance of
your mining equipment. Where do you start? Well the first place you
start is in the collection and use of data. There are monitors for all
equipment now and there is no reason not to have one on every piece of
equipment. We have just kicked off a project with Vale in Brazil and they
have many, many small excavators and small trucks running around a number of
their mines. From a fleet of 5 m3 excavators and 40 tonne
articulated trucks they have a monitor on everything and the data quality is as
good as anything in the world. This is a company which is trying to catch
up technology and bring their mines into the 21st century and they
have monitors on everything. You need to be the same. It has often
been said that if you don’t measure it then you can’t improve it and while this
is true it is more than this. If you don’t acquire it, analyse it and
apply it then you can’t improve it.
OK, so we assume you have monitors
(and even if you are still to get them) there is a very simple paradigm for
improving your equipment. That is; Fill it up and do it more often.
“Too easy”, I hear you say. “We already do”, most will respond. My
response to this then is - why aren’t you achieving best practice? If
your P&H4100XPB shovel is moving less than 50 million tonnes per annum or
your EX5500 Excavator is less than 24 million tonnes or your Cat 793 truck is
less than 5 million tonnes per annum per truck then why aren’t you doing what
best practice operations do? The problem is twofold.
Firstly, many
mines find excuses not to “fill it up”. These excuses range from, “I
can't overload the machine” to “If I don’t fill it up then I can cycle quicker”
to “We can’t handle the spillage” to ……. Any of these sound
familiar? Another issue for many mines is that operator have been taught
to not fill it up. The number one, most important thing you can tell an
operator is to fill it up. Irrespective of whether it is a truck,
dragline, excavator, front end loader or electric rope shovel the singular
directive should be given to the operator; “Fill it up”. This sounds
simple but an operator must be taught what full is and then how to achieve it
consistently. It is surprising how many different definitions there are
of “full”. I will return to this issue of full in future posts as it is a
really important concept which many miss.
Secondly, you must treat every
second of time as being important. This is another one of those attitude
issues. Do you operate your truck for 5,000 hours per year or 6,000?
Think about it this way. If you could save 15 minutes a day simply by
being more efficient in how you park your equipment and how you start it up
again (this is one we have actually studied and we reckon 15 minutes a day is
the average most mines could achieve per piece of equipment) you would save 90
hours per year. The key here is attitude towards time. The average
hours worked for a Komatsu 830e truck is 5,159 per annum while best practice
mines operate them for 5,675 hours per annum. Interesting isn’t it.
Now right here I can hear the excuses, weather, height above sea level, hauling
profile, etc. but the underlying issue is attitude. If you found yourself
making excuses as soon as you saw those numbers then you need to have a think
about your attitude.
Graham Lumley
BE(Min)Hons, MBA, DBA, FAUSIMM(CP), MMICA,
MAICD, RPEQ
Tuesday, 22 November 2011
A Productivity Attitude
The primary aim of these articles is to get members of the
mining community to think about productivity. Productivity is about
attitude. Much can be learnt about the theory behind operating different
pieces of equipment and improving productivity but if the mine does not have a
‘culture of productivity’ then achieving best practice is virtually impossible.
Being innovative helps but just doing the simple things well is a
really good start.
The profitability of many mines is highly leveraged
against the productivity of the major earthmoving equipment and thus
significant management effort should be focussed on getting the most out of
this equipment. Unfortunately exactly what this entails is not always
well understood and often other activities are given preference sometimes to
the detriment of equipment productivity. The actions of mine planning,
blasting, scheduling, maintenance and man management all play a significant
role in production but need to have a common productivity focus or else they
can negatively impact the equipment performance.
Figure 1
Figure 1 is the way many mines are run. The
processes in running the mine and the requirements of the corporate entity
simply work against getting optimal performance. In addition, people with
an innovative attitude soon get put in their place and drowned within the
bureaucracy. People on these mines are too concerned with ticking career
boxes and making sure the processes are all in place, but when it comes to
doing something there is always a good reason not to.
Figure 2
The productive mine (Figure 2) shows a different flow of
“impacts”. We now make the equipment productivity central to the mine’s
performance, (which is exactly where it should be…surely). People and
personalities become less important and the requirement for equipment
productivity becomes of primary importance.
The equipment productivity is now “driving” other aspects
of the mine operation. It is no longer acceptable for mine planning to
impact productivity negatively; they know what is expected of the equipment and
they produce plans which help the equipment achieve it. Blasting,
scheduling, maintenance, management, etc. are all the same. The mine has
an expectation of performance (which I believe should be dictated by what best
practice machines achieve) and every role within the mine should be singularly
focussed on helping the mine achieve the required productivity. We have
inevitably found that this is the way which mines achieving best practice
operate.
There is a saying along the lines, “the best things in
life are free”. I find it hard to forget as I had to debate this in Year
10 English. I now prefer to say that the best productivity improvements
are free (or nearly free). Productivity is about people and attitude and
it costs no extra for a mine to have a “productivity attitude”.
I have referred previously to Robe River Mine and the
upheavals which took place in 1986 under the guidance of Charles Copeman.
At the end of the resources boom which commenced in 1977/78, mining companies
were starting to tighten their belts. Unfortunately this belt-tightening
was resisted by workforces which had become accustomed to getting things their
own way. This attitude was promoted by management which made money
despite themselves. Robe River was the first to face the prospects of an
extended “difficult” period by attempting to change the attitude of the
mine. I suspect Charles Copeman knew where it would lead as changing a
culture is not an easy thing to achieve. When change did not come Copeman
sacked the management team and installed “his” team of people with the attitude
he wanted. Copeman recognised that change had to start at the top and
work its way down. Sure, it did eventually work its way through and the
workforce was sacked and then selectively reemployed some on significantly
different working conditions, but the important lesson to learn here is that
the change started with management.
This was the start of the depressed period I call the
“Downsizing Period”. It ran from about 1986 – 2001. I remember one
day going on to a mine site (1996 I think) I often visited which had a big sign
out the front. Employee numbers usually ranged from 380 – 400. This
day, the number was 196. I had to look at it a couple of times but it
made an indelible impression on me.
The mining industry has now entered the next difficult
period. Forget the super-cycle or a quick rebound. The largest
economy in the world is bankrupt as is the Eurozone and demand for goods will
remain depressed so demand for commodities will remain depressed. I
believe this period will run at least 12 more years (probably longer).
Most mines are now like the proverbial stone which has had the blood ringed
from it when it comes to people. You just can’t keep cutting people and
keep the mine going. Once Executive Management and Boards of Directors
realise that prices are coming down they will have no option if they want to
stay in business but to chase improvements in equipment productivity. I
wonder if they will follow Charles Copeman’s lead and start with mine managers
who accept mediocre or average performance (in this case of their
equipment)? Most operators’ jobs are safe because most of them actually
want to do a better job and just need management to help them achieve it.
Graham Lumley
BE(Min)Hons, MBA, DBA, FAUSIMM(CP), MMICA, MAICD, RPEQ
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